At least that is according to Punxsutawney Phil who emerged from his burrow on Gobbler’s Knob early this morning and saw his shadow.

Phil, a groundhog, has been using this method to forecast the weather on Groundhog Day (Feb. 2) for more than 120 years.

Punxsutawney Phil was first tasked with predicting the upcoming spring weather in 1887, and the process hasn’t changed much since.

The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, of Punxsutawney, Penn., takes care of Phil year-round, and on each Feb. 2, members of the club’s Inner Circle rouse Phil at sunrise to see if he casts a shadow.

So has he been successful? It depends on who you ask and how they measure it.

Stormfax Almanac’s data shows that Phil’s six-week predictions have been correct about 39 percent of the time, but Accuweather analysis uses different metrics which suggests that Phil correctly predicts a longer winter 80 percent of the time.

This year groundhogs in at least five other states however did NOT see their shadows, suggesting a short winter. These include:

West Virginia’s French Creek Freddie
Georgia’s Gen. Beauregard Lee
Michigan’s Woody the Woodchuck
Ohio’s Buckeye Chuck
New York’s Staten Island Chuck (full name: Charles G. Hogg)

Ontario’s Wiarton Willie or Nova Scotia’s Shubenacadie Sam likewise did not see their shadows.

“What started as a small gathering in 1887 has now evolved into tens of thousands of visitors from around the nation and even the world coming to Punxsutawney to participate in this time-honored Groundhog Day tradition,” said Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett who was among the spectators this year.

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